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Bitcoin is moving onto exchanges and increasing sell pressure, while stablecoins are leaving
This brief is about the reversal in flows from May to the present. The logic is simple: BTC inflows to exchanges increase supply pressure, while stablecoin outflows deprive the market of fuel for a…
The Puell Multiple is declining - miners are entering the stress zone
Miner metrics have entered a stress zone comparable to post-halving drawdowns, but the market has not yet reached a full-scale capitulation on the scale of 2018 and 2022. The key question is whether…
$12B Left the Network, Loss-Taking Sales Dominate
Capital is leaving the Bitcoin network, and participant behavior confirms a capitulation regime - sales are being made at a loss. This brief examines how close the current stress is to the March…
22 Days of Net Losses: MVRV Z Cooled to 0.32
For 22 straight days, the market has been realizing net losses. But MVRV Z has already cooled to 0.32, versus a historical average of 1.71.Stress is there. Overheating is gone. What this means for…
Price is rising, Open Interest is falling: a rebound without new leverage
Bitcoin bounced 3.7% off $60K, but Open Interest fell 6% with positive funding - a short-covering rebound, not new leverage. Watch OI for confirmation.
Bitcoin Tests the February Low: $7B in Losses, Nearest Support $54K
Bitcoin is testing the February low, while the current net realized loss of -$7B is already heavier than it was directly at the February price low. At the same time, it is still below the peak of…
$62K Under Pressure Again: Fear at the Extreme
Over the past month, Bitcoin has pulled back after the May recovery and returned to a test of the February low at 60K - the level that became the local bottom after the decline from the cycle peak of…
Bearish impulse accelerated to -59: taker-order pressure is moving negative again
Over the past month, the market has pulled back from the May highs to February levels. Both charts capture the same reversal, but at different speeds: the slow Bitcoin Impulse has already dropped to…
The May Rally Has Been Erased: Bitcoin Under Pressure From Spot and Futures
Since the start of May, the market regime has completely reversed. What previously pushed price higher is now working against it. Two charts show how exchange outflows and short squeezes have been…
Bitcoin Volatility Fell 56%: The Spring Is Loaded
Bitcoin realized volatility fell 56% to multi-year lows as market cap grows slower than realized cap. A coiled, de-risked setup. Watch the 200-day average.
7,048 BTC Were Withdrawn From IBIT, Strategy Wallets Sent Coins to Coinbase Prime
BlackRock and Strategy-affiliated wallets moved BTC into Coinbase Prime infrastructure. A sale is not yet confirmed, but the market has received a new supply overhang and now has to show whether it…
Sellers are returning, buyers are leaving
BTC is returning to exchanges after months of outflows, while stablecoins are simultaneously leaving exchanges - this is a double risk-off signal.
Sellers Regain Control: Why Bitcoin's Rebound Is Losing Fuel
Bitcoin bounced +2.7% from the May 23 low, but the underlying futures microstructure deteriorated much faster than price. In this episode, we break down why the rebound initially looked constructive,…
Sellers Increase Pressure: +34K BTC in One Week
In this episode of Adler AM: Bitcoin Morning Brief, we break down last week’s local BTC pressure setup: +18K BTC moved onto exchanges, while U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw roughly -16K BTC in…
Sellers are Pressing: STH Underwater, Network Realizes Losses
May 2026 has put short-term holders in a vulnerable position: BTC is trading below their aggregate cost basis, while Net Realized P/L has moved into negative territory for the first time in a month.
Bitcoin Bounced Toward $77K, but Coinbase Premium Shows No Demand From the U.S.
BTC bounced toward $77K after positive geopolitical headlines around Iran, but the underlying market structure remains unconfirmed. In this episode, we break down why Coinbase Premium remains…
Bullish Impulse Broken: Macro Pressure Intensifies
In this episode of Adler AM: Bitcoin Morning Brief, we break down why Bitcoin’s bullish impulse has weakened just as macro pressure intensifies. Bitcoin Slow Impulse has moved into negative territory…
Supply in Profit Recovered to 63%, but STH-SOPR Has Not Held Above 1.0
Supply in Profit has recovered after the capitulation phase, but short-term holders are still not realizing sustained profits. There is still no behavioral confirmation of a reversal.
Bears Are Back in Control of the Bitcoin Market Structure
Two structural signals confirm one conclusion: bulls have lost control. The market failed to hold above the zero zone, sellers absorbed the bullish impulse, and price is once again pinned to the…
Three attempts - zero breakouts: STH are capping growth near $82K
Bitcoin approached the $82K zone three times and pulled back three times: STH-SOPR shows that short-term holders are using every rally to exit, confirming structural overhead pressure. Until price…
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Adler AM: Bitcoin Morning Brief has published 23 episodes since May 2026, covering topics in Business, Investing.
Adler AM: Bitcoin Morning Brief is currently highly active with new episodes daily. Average episode length is 20m.
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