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Are AI benchmarks doomed?
AI benchmarks saturate quickly, struggle to capture what we care about, and cost more than ever to build. But are they doomed? Greg Burnham, who leads Epoch's benchmarking team, and Tom Adamczewski,…
AI math capabilities could be jagged for a long time – Daniel Litt
Daniel Litt is a professor of mathematics at the University of Toronto. He has been a careful observer of AI’s progress toward accelerating mathematical discovery, sometimes skeptical and sometimes…
The EU and the not-so-simple macroeconomics of AI - Luis Garicano
Professor Luis Garicano isn’t your usual academic economist. Academically, his theories have heavily influenced how modern economists understand the structure of firms and the labor market. But his…
What does economics actually tell us about AGI? – Phil Trammell
Stanford economist Phil Trammell has been rigorously thinking about the intersection of economic theory and AI (incl. AGI) for over five years, long before the recent surge of interest in large…
Forecasting AI progress until 2040
What will AI progress look like over the next 15 years? Informed by current trends, Epoch AI researchers Jaime Sevilla and Yafah Edelman argue that the default expectation should be wild. They…
Is it 3 Years, or 3 Decades Away? Disagreements on AGI Timelines
When might AI truly transform our world, and what will that transformation look like? Even within our own research team, timelines for AGI differ substantially. In this episode, the two Epoch AI…
AI in 2030, Scaling Bottlenecks, and Explosive Growth
In our first episode of Epoch After Hours, Ege, Tamay and Jaime dig into what they expect AI to look like by 2030; why economists are underestimating the likelihood of explosive growth; the startling…
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Epoch After Hours has published 7 episodes since January 2025, covering topics in Technology.
Epoch After Hours is currently highly active with new episodes every 2 months. Average episode length is 1h 42m.
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