Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens

Rob Moreno

English Fantasy Sports Sports

Apple Podcasts Website RSS

Episodes 48

Avg. Duration 21m

Activity Highly Active

Apple Rating ★ 4.8 (8)

Since Feb 2024

Latest Episode May 2026

Publishing Details

Schedule

Weekly

Format

Episodic

Consistency

47%

Hosting

api.riverside.fm

Contact & Outreach

About This Podcast

Fighting With Numbers is the UFC betting podcast where analytics meet fight talk.

Hosted by Rob Moreno of VSiN's First Strike, each episode breaks down upcoming cards through model grades, matchup data, and betting angles that actually matter. No hype, no clickbait — just data-driven analysis that helps you read the lines, not the headlines.
Whether you’re chasing sharp value, tracking fighter trends, or just love hearing the story behind the stats, this show gives you the edge every fight week.

New episodes drop every week — where numbers tell the story inside the Octagon.

Podcasting 2.0 Features

transcript

Social Media

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Recent Episodes

UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 41

May 06, 2026 24m Transcript

UFC 328 is headlined by a middleweight title fight with some genuine bad blood behind it — Khamzat Chimaev defends his belt against Sean Strickland, who gets his third shot at middleweight gold. Rob…

UFC Perth: Della Maddalena vs Prates | Bets & Predictions | FWN Ep. 40

Apr 29, 2026 19m Transcript

The UFC heads to Perth, Australia this week for a card that has most of us in the States setting a 1AM alarm. Rob breaks down three fights through the model — including a main event featuring a…

UFC Vegas 116: Sterling vs Zalal | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 39

Apr 22, 2026 17m Transcript

UFC Vegas 116 is headlined by former bantamweight champion, Aljamain Sterling, set to face one of the hottest fighters in the featherweight division right now in Youssef Zalal. Rob breaks down a few…

UFC Winnipeg: Burns vs Malott | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 38

Apr 15, 2026 26m Transcript

UFC heads to Winnipeg this week for a lean card — but before diving into the fights, Rob pulls back the curtain on how the Fighting With Numbers model actually works. What is xR%? How do the tiers…

UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg | Betting Breakdown | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 37

Apr 08, 2026 21m Transcript

Rob Moreno provides an in-depth analysis of UFC 327, including fight predictions, betting insights, and fighter breakdowns. He shares his modeling process, key fight data, and betting strategies for…

UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs Duncan | Betting Predictions | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 36

Apr 01, 2026 22m Transcript

Rob Moreno discusses the UFC Seattle recap, the controversy around judging, and provides a preview of UFC Vegas 115. He analyzes three upcoming fights, highlighting key statistics and betting…

UFC Seattle: Adesanya vs Pyfer | Betting Predictions | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 35

Mar 25, 2026 22m Transcript

The UFC heads to Seattle this week and the main event has legacy written all over it. Israel Adesanya — former champion, three-fight losing streak — steps in against a hungry Joe Pyfer who smells an…

Evloev vs Murphy Picks & Preview | UFC London Breakdown | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 34

Mar 18, 2026 20m Transcript

The UFC heads to London this week for a card headlined by one of the most unique matchups of the year — undefeated vs undefeated as Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy collide for what could be a number…

UFC Vegas 114 Betting Picks & Predictions: Emmett vs Vallejos | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 33

Mar 11, 2026 17m Transcript

The model is back this week with three confident plays heading into UFC Vegas 114. Rob breaks down the numbers on four fights — a rematch with a clear blueprint, two aging middleweights swinging for…

UFC 326 BMF Betting: Holloway vs Oliveira | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 32

Mar 04, 2026 19m Transcript

Rob, aka Bobby Knuckles, shares his deep dive into UFC 326, breaking down how his predictive model hits a 75% success rate — all while navigating the chaos of fight hype and emotional bets. You’ll…

UFC Mexico Betting Preview: Moreno vs Kavanagh | Fighting With Numbers

Feb 25, 2026 14m

The model stays hot after a 5–1 week, moving to 20–5 (80%) on the year, but UFC Mexico might be one of the lightest betting cards we’ve seen all season.In this episode of Fighting With Numbers, we…

UFC Houston Betting Preview: Strickland vs Hernandez | Fighting With Numbers

Feb 18, 2026 22m

In this episode of Fighting With Numbers, Rob Moreno previews UFC Houston, discussing the card's matchups, analyzing fighters' statistics, and emphasizing the importance of betting discipline. He…

UFC Vegas 113 Betting Preview: Bautista vs Oliveira | Fighting with Numbers Ep. 29

Feb 04, 2026 18m

The model stays hot as we break down UFC Vegas 113, coming off a 4–1 week and a 10–3 start to the year (76.9%).With no title fights on the horizon for several weeks, this episode focuses on finding…

S2E2 UFC 325 Betting Predictions: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 | Fighting with Numbers

Jan 28, 2026 15m

In this episode of Fighting with Numbers, Rob Moreno breaks down UFC 325, featuring a smaller card with only six fights modeled. He discusses the importance of patience and discipline in betting,…

S2E1 UFC 324 Betting Preview: Gaethje vs Pimblett | Fighting with Numbers

Jan 22, 2026 20m

In this episode of Fighting with Numbers, Rob Moreno dives into UFC 324, analyzing key matchups including Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson, Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas, Sean O'Malley vs. Song…

UFC Vegas 112: Royvval vs Kape (One Last Event)

Dec 11, 2025 19m

It’s the final UFC event of the year, and we’re closing 2025 with a deep dive into UFC Vegas 112: Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape. After a 6-4 week, the model sits at 176-101-15 (63.54%), locking in a…

UFC 323 Betting Preview: Merab vs Yan 2, Pantoja vs Van

Dec 04, 2025 24m

The UFC closes out the PPV era with a monster card at UFC 323, live from T-Mobile Arena — and we’re breaking down all the numbers that matter. Two championship fights headline the final mega-event of…

Tsarukyan vs Hooker: UFC Qatar Betting Preview

Nov 20, 2025 21m

UFC Qatar is here — and with only three events left in the year, it’s all about tightening the screws and finding the smartest possible spots. This week’s card is a morning start with a smaller batch…

UFC 322 Betting Preview: JDM vs Makhachev, Shevchenko vs Weili

Nov 13, 2025 23m

UFC 322 is one of the deepest cards of the entire year, with two massive title fights — Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev for the welterweight belt, and Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang for…

UFC Vegas 110: Can Steve Garcia Keep the Streak Alive Against David Onama?

Oct 29, 2025 15m

The UFC returns to the Apex for UFC Vegas 110 — and Rob’s breaking down the numbers! After a few rough weeks for the model (now at 63.56%), it’s time to bounce back with a stat-driven look at this…

Frequently Asked Questions

How many episodes does Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens have?

Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens has published 48 episodes since February 2024, covering topics in Fantasy Sports, Sports.

Is Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens still active?

Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens is currently highly active with new episodes weekly. Average episode length is 21m.

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