Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens

Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens

Rob Moreno

Episodes 52
Avg. Duration 21m
Activity Highly Active
Since Feb 2024
Latest Episode Jun 2026

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Schedule
Weekly
Format
Episodic
Consistency
82%
Hosting
feeds.simplecast.com

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About This Podcast

Fighting With Numbers is the UFC betting podcast where analytics meet fight talk. Hosted by Rob Moreno of VSiN's First Strike, each episode breaks down upcoming cards through model grades, matchup data, and betting angles that actually matter. No hype, no clickbait — just data-driven analysis that helps you read the lines, not the headlines. Whether you’re chasing sharp value, tracking fighter trends, or just love hearing the story behind the stats, this show gives you the edge every fight week. New episodes drop every week — where numbers tell the story inside the Octagon.

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Recent Episodes

UFC Freedom 250 | White House Bets | FWN Ep. 45

Jun 10, 2026 25m

The UFC takes it outside — literally — as the promotion sets up on the lawn of the White House for a card with two title fights and genuine history on the line. Rob breaks down fights through the…

UFC Vegas 118: Muhammad vs Bonfim | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 44

Jun 02, 2026 16m

UFC Vegas 118 lands at the APEX this week with a former welterweight champion looking to stop the bleeding against a rising contender riding serious momentum. If you're enjoying the show, make sure…

UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 43

May 26, 2026 11m

The UFC is back from a week off and so is Fighting With Numbers. This week the promotion heads to Macau for an early morning card — 4AM Eastern for those of us stateside. Rob breaks down two fights…

UFC Vegas 117: Allen vs Costa | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 42

May 13, 2026 23m

UFC Vegas 117 brings a lean APEX card to close out the stretch before the UFC takes a week off — and Fighting With Numbers marks one year of the podcast. Rob breaks down three fights through the…

UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 41

May 06, 2026 24m

UFC 328 is headlined by a middleweight title fight with some genuine bad blood behind it — Khamzat Chimaev defends his belt against Sean Strickland, who gets his third shot at middleweight gold. Rob…

UFC Perth: Della Maddalena vs Prates | Bets & Predictions | FWN Ep. 40

Apr 29, 2026 19m

The UFC heads to Perth, Australia this week for a card that has most of us in the States setting a 1AM alarm. Rob breaks down three fights through the model — including a main event featuring a…

UFC Vegas 116: Sterling vs Zalal | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 39

Apr 22, 2026 17m

UFC Vegas 116 is headlined by former bantamweight champion, Aljamain Sterling, set to face one of the hottest fighters in the featherweight division right now in Youssef Zalal. Rob breaks down a few…

UFC Winnipeg: Burns vs Malott | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 38

Apr 15, 2026 26m

UFC heads to Winnipeg this week for a lean card — but before diving into the fights, Rob pulls back the curtain on how the Fighting With Numbers model actually works. What is xR%? How do the tiers…

UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg | Betting Breakdown | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 37

Apr 08, 2026 21m

Rob Moreno provides an in-depth analysis of UFC 327, including fight predictions, betting insights, and fighter breakdowns. He shares his modeling process, key fight data, and betting strategies for…

UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs Duncan | Betting Predictions | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 36

Apr 01, 2026 22m

Rob Moreno discusses the UFC Seattle recap, the controversy around judging, and provides a preview of UFC Vegas 115. He analyzes three upcoming fights, highlighting key statistics and betting…

UFC Seattle: Adesanya vs Pyfer | Betting Predictions | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 35

Mar 25, 2026 22m

The UFC heads to Seattle this week and the main event has legacy written all over it. Israel Adesanya — former champion, three-fight losing streak — steps in against a hungry Joe Pyfer who smells an…

Evloev vs Murphy Picks & Preview | UFC London Breakdown | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 34

Mar 18, 2026 20m

The UFC heads to London this week for a card headlined by one of the most unique matchups of the year — undefeated vs undefeated as Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy collide for what could be a number…

UFC Vegas 114 Betting Picks & Predictions: Emmett vs Vallejos | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 33

Mar 11, 2026 17m

The model is back this week with three confident plays heading into UFC Vegas 114. Rob breaks down the numbers on four fights — a rematch with a clear blueprint, two aging middleweights swinging for…

UFC 326 BMF Betting: Holloway vs Oliveira | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 32

Mar 04, 2026 19m

Rob, aka Bobby Knuckles, shares his deep dive into UFC 326, breaking down how his predictive model hits a 75% success rate — all while navigating the chaos of fight hype and emotional bets. You’ll…

UFC Mexico Betting Preview: Moreno vs Kavanagh | Fighting With Numbers

Feb 25, 2026 14m

The model stays hot after a 5–1 week, moving to 20–5 (80%) on the year, but UFC Mexico might be one of the lightest betting cards we’ve seen all season.In this episode of Fighting With Numbers, we…

UFC Houston Betting Preview: Strickland vs Hernandez | Fighting With Numbers

Feb 18, 2026 22m

In this episode of Fighting With Numbers, Rob Moreno previews UFC Houston, discussing the card's matchups, analyzing fighters' statistics, and emphasizing the importance of betting discipline. He…

UFC Vegas 113 Betting Preview: Bautista vs Oliveira | Fighting with Numbers Ep. 29

Feb 04, 2026 18m

The model stays hot as we break down UFC Vegas 113, coming off a 4–1 week and a 10–3 start to the year (76.9%).With no title fights on the horizon for several weeks, this episode focuses on finding…

UFC 325 Betting Predictions: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 | Fighting with Numbers

Jan 28, 2026 15m

In this episode of Fighting with Numbers, Rob Moreno breaks down UFC 325, featuring a smaller card with only six fights modeled. He discusses the importance of patience and discipline in betting,…

UFC 324 Betting Preview: Gaethje vs Pimblett | Fighting with Numbers

Jan 22, 2026 20m

In this episode of Fighting with Numbers, Rob Moreno dives into UFC 324, analyzing key matchups including Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson, Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas, Sean O'Malley vs. Song…

UFC Vegas 112: Royvval vs Kape (One Last Event)

Dec 11, 2025 19m

It’s the final UFC event of the year, and we’re closing 2025 with a deep dive into UFC Vegas 112: Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape. After a 6-4 week, the model sits at 176-101-15 (63.54%), locking in a…

Frequently Asked Questions

How many episodes does Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens have?

Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens has published 52 episodes since February 2024, covering topics in Fantasy Sports, Sports.

Is Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens still active?

Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens is currently highly active with new episodes weekly. Average episode length is 21m.

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