Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens
Rob Moreno
Publishing Details
About This Podcast
Fighting With Numbers is the UFC betting podcast where analytics meet fight talk.
Hosted by Rob Moreno of VSiN's First Strike, each episode breaks down upcoming cards through model grades, matchup data, and betting angles that actually matter. No hype, no clickbait — just data-driven analysis that helps you read the lines, not the headlines.
Whether you’re chasing sharp value, tracking fighter trends, or just love hearing the story behind the stats, this show gives you the edge every fight week.
New episodes drop every week — where numbers tell the story inside the Octagon.
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Recent Episodes
UFC Vegas 112: Royvval vs Kape (One Last Event)
It’s the final UFC event of the year, and we’re closing 2025 with a deep dive into UFC Vegas 112: Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape. After a 6-4 week, the model sits at 176-101-15 (63.54%), locking in a…
UFC 323 Betting Preview: Merab vs Yan 2, Pantoja vs Van
The UFC closes out the PPV era with a monster card at UFC 323, live from T-Mobile Arena — and we’re breaking down all the numbers that matter. Two championship fights headline the final mega-event of…
Tsarukyan vs Hooker: UFC Qatar Betting Preview
UFC Qatar is here — and with only three events left in the year, it’s all about tightening the screws and finding the smartest possible spots. This week’s card is a morning start with a smaller batch…
UFC 322 Betting Preview: JDM vs Makhachev, Shevchenko vs Weili
UFC 322 is one of the deepest cards of the entire year, with two massive title fights — Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev for the welterweight belt, and Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang for…
UFC Vegas 110: Can Steve Garcia Keep the Streak Alive Against David Onama?
The UFC returns to the Apex for UFC Vegas 110 — and Rob’s breaking down the numbers! After a few rough weeks for the model (now at 63.56%), it’s time to bounce back with a stat-driven look at this…
Can Tom Aspinall Cement His Legacy? UFC 321 Betting & Stats Breakdown
The UFC heads to Abu Dhabi for a massive double-title event at UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane, and Fighting With Numbers is breaking it all down! Rob Moreno (@TheRobbeo) dives deep into the…
UFC Vancouver Predictions: Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen — Grappler's Paradise
The Fighting With Numbers podcast is back for UFC Vancouver! And this week, the model digs into a stat-stacked card headlined by Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen. Rob Moreno (@TheRobbeo) breaks…
UFC Rio: Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot – Betting Breakdown, Model Picks & Underdog Angles
We’re back in Brazil for UFC Rio, headlined by former lightweight champ Charles Oliveira taking on Mateusz Gamrot in a high-stakes main event. Rob Moreno breaks down all the key fights using the…
UFC 320: Pereira’s Revenge Shot? | Fighting With Numbers
The light heavyweight title is back on the line as Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira run it back at UFC 320. Bobby Knuckles breaks down the rematch, plus deep dives into Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory…
UFC Perth: Underdogs Down Under? Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes & More
The UFC returns to Australia with UFC Perth, headlined by Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes. After a week off, we’re back in the lab breaking down some key fights: Including Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando…
Noche UFC: Revenge of the Nerds? - Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva
Noche UFC is here, headlined by Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva. I break down the key matchups, digs into the stats, and set the stage for a stacked night of fights. From Tatiana Suarez’s return, a clash…
UFC Paris Preview - Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho
After a one-week break, the UFC returns with a morning card from Paris, headlined by Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho in a matchup that could get violent fast. This week on Fighting With Numbers,…
Fighting While We Sleep: UFC Shanghai Johnny Walker vs Mingyang Zhang
It’s UFC Shanghai, live from the other side of the world and kicking off at 3AM Eastern. The headliner? Johnny Walker vs Mingyang Zhang in a fight that could launch Zhang into the spotlight. With the…
UFC 319 By The Numbers - Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev
The middleweight belt is on the line at UFC 319 as Dricus Du Plessis faces the undefeated Khamzat Chimaev. We break down the styles, the stats, and where the edge really lies in this clash of chaos…
UFC Vegas 109: Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez
It’s not the prettiest card for betting — but that’s where value hides. In this episode, we break down UFC Vegas 109 from top to bottom, including the pressure-heavy main event between Anthony…
UFC Vegas 108: Taira vs Park, Late Shakeups and Live Spots
It’s a lighter slate for UFC Vegas 108, with Tatsuro Taira now facing Hyun Sung Park in a last-minute main event switch. While it might not be the most stacked card on paper, the model still found…
UFC Abu Dhabi: Whittaker vs de Ridder — Model Picks, Stats & Bets
We’re running the numbers for UFC Abu Dhabi, headlined by Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder. Every fight is broken down by the stats, with model scores, xR percentages, and key striking and…
UFC 318: Max Holloway vs Dustin Poirier 3 – The BMF Numbers
This week on Fighting with Numbers, it’s UFC 318 — and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier meet for the third time, this one for the BMF Title in what’s also Poirier’s…
UFC Nashville: Back in Action with Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira
After a week off, we’re back in action for UFC Nashville, headlined by a heavyweight showdown between Derrick Lewis and rising prospect Tallison Teixeira. This week on Fighting with Numbers, the…
UFC 317: Two Title Fights, One Model, All Business
It’s a big one. This week on Fighting with Numbers, we’re diving into the double-title card at UFC 317. Flyweight champ Alexandre Pantoja defends against Kai Kara-France, and the vacant lightweight…
Frequently Asked Questions
Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens has published 33 episodes since February 2024, covering topics in Fantasy Sports, Sports.
Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens is currently declining with new episodes weekly. Average episode length is 27m.
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