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Ebola, Statistics, and What Pandemic Science Can Teach Markets
The Democratic Republic of Congo is in the middle of its 17th Ebola outbreak since 1976 and the WHO has declared a public health emergency of international concern. There are no approved vaccines. No…
Wildfire's Garbage-In Problem With Brian Bastian
California’s homeowners insurance market, backed by privae capital, is still in retreat. The publicly-backed FAIR Plan is financial buckling. And somewhere in the gap between what the cat models…
Modeling Every Risk for Every Client with Willis' Ben Fidlow
Ben Fidlow is a Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society and leads analytics and risk advisory at Willis. In this episode, he explains how brokerage modeling differs fundamentally from carrier or…
The Wrong Model for the Wrong Job With Roy Wright
In this episode of Risky Science, recorded at ClimateTech Connect in April, IBHS CEO Roy Wright breaks down why catastrophe models were never designed to price individual risk, why mitigation only…
The LA Fires and the Risk Market Value Chain With Joy Chen
The Eaton and Palisades fires are now the most expensive wildfire disaster in U.S. history — and what's happening in Los Angeles right now is a real-time stress test of the entire insurance value…
How Catastrophe Models Work and Where They Fall Short With Anil Vasagiri
This episode is part of a series of live conversations recorded at Climate Tech Connect 2026 in Washington, D.C.Anil Vasagiri, Head of Risk Data Solutions at Swiss Re is a rare combination of…
Why Mixing Catastrophes With Prediction Markets Is More Dangerous Than It Looks With Jamie Pietruska
The LA wildfires burned more than a hundred thousand acres. They destroyed thousands of homes. And while they were still burning, people were placing bets on them.Not insurers. Not reinsurers. Not…
AI, Models, and the Limits of Climate Assumptions with Sarah Kapnick
We sit down with Dr. Sarah Kapnick at Climate Tech Connect in Washington, D.C. in a conversation covers the time-horizon problem at the heart of climate finance, what the PG&E bankruptcy revealed…
Can Models Still Work When Everything Changes at Once? With Christiane Baumeister
This week I speak with Dr. Christiane Baumeister, a professor at the University of Notre Dame. Her research focuses on global oil market dynamics — disentangling the supply and demand forces that…
(Preview) China's Growing Risk Data Moat and the US Brain Drain With Hui Su
A conversation with Dr. Hui Su, a professor at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and one of the leading researchers working at the intersection of satellite data, artificial…
Confidence as a Service With Eric Winsberg
We speak with Eric Winsberg: a philosopher of science at Cambridge and the University of South Florida, who has thought hard about what happens when models move from the lab into the world and into…
(Preview) The $232 Billion Storm No One Is Pricing With Moody's Chris Lafakis
Chris Lafakis and his team did the first analysis to combine Moody's catastrophe modeling infrastructure with a full macroeconomic model. The results are eye opening.This is a preview of the Risky…
How Hurricane Risk Really Gets Priced with Dr. Ben Collier
Dr. Ben Collier, a professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and his fellow researchers published a recent paper that uses twenty years of Florida data to trace a direct line from cat model…
Black Box Problems, Machine Judgment and the Rules Nobody's Written Yet With Daniel Schwarcz
A conversation with Daniel Schwarcz, professor at the University of Minnesota Law School, where he teaches insurance law, contract law, tort law, and financial regulation and his academic work sits…
AI Risk, Markets and Modeling the Unknown With Daniel Reti
In this episode of the Risky Science Podcast we are joined by Danie Retil, co-founder of Exona Labs, a startup building AI risk modeling and quantification tools.
Prediction Markets, Parametrics and Rethinking Weather Risk With Dr. Partick Brown
For decades, insurers, reinsurers and energy companies have relied on models, parametrics, and traditional hedges to manage hurricane and weather exposure. But what if markets could continuously…
Greenland, Venezuela and the New Political Risk Model Reality with WTW’s Sam Wilkin
In this episode of the podcast, we speak with geopolitical risk expert Samuel Wilkin of Willis Towers Watson about why political risk is moving from a background concern to a front-line business…
Cyber Risk in 2026 and Why Near Misses Matter More Than Losses With Morgan Hervé-Mignucci
In our first episode of the New Year we are focusing on cyber risk in 2026, a peril that looks increasingly systemic, yet remains poorly understood when it comes to how losses actually…
Climate, Markets and the Limits of Insurability with Dave Jones
In the last episode of Risky Science, we examined skepticism around climate-conditioned catastrophe models with Roger Pielke Jr.—questioning how much weight long-range climate assumptions should…
Climate, Catastrophe Models and the Limits of Prediction with Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.
Register for the January 8 Risky Science Podcast LiveIn this episode, I’m joined by Roger Pielke Jr., a researcher known for his work on the use—and misuse—of models in risk and policy decisions.…
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Risky Science Podcast has published 43 episodes since May 2025, covering topics in Business, Investing.
Risky Science Podcast is currently active with new episodes weekly. Average episode length is 42m.
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